Cards › 2018 Topps Chrome Freshman Flash Shohei Ohtani #FF-1 Orange Refractor

Is the 2018 Topps Chrome Freshman Flash Shohei Ohtani #FF-1 Orange Refractor worth grading?

Live market numbers as of 2026-06-22 — raw vs. graded value, PSA 10 gem rate, and the breakeven math.

Raw value

$46.32

PSA 9 value

$57.00

PSA 10 value

$132.61

PSA 10 gem rate

47.1%

Based on the numbers below, this card is potentially worth grading — a PSA 10 nets an estimated $33, but the 47.1% gem rate means the 10 is far from guaranteed. Weigh the PSA 9 outcome below.

The breakeven math

Line item	Amount
Raw purchase	$46.32
Sales tax (8%)	$3.71
Grading fee (value tier)	$25.00
Shipping	$5.00
Total cost basis	$80.03
Net at PSA 10 (85% payout)	+$32.69 (+41%)
Net at PSA 9 (the downside case)	−$31.58

Assumptions: $25 grading, $5 shipping, 8% tax on the raw purchase, and keeping 85% of the sale after marketplace fees. Your numbers will differ — run them below.

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Card pricing data provided by SportsCardsPro, a service of PriceCharting. Gem rates reflect recent PSA population data (17 graded submissions). Not investment advice — grading outcomes are probabilistic and markets move. © Summit Sports Cards · About · Pricing