Cards › 2018 Bowman Chrome National Convention Shohei Ohtani #BNR-SO Orange Refractor

Is the 2018 Bowman Chrome National Convention Shohei Ohtani #BNR-SO Orange Refractor worth grading?

Live market numbers as of 2026-06-22 — raw vs. graded value, PSA 10 gem rate, and the breakeven math.

Raw value
$421.66
PSA 9 value
$393.56
PSA 10 value
$1,200.00
PSA 10 gem rate
25%
Based on the numbers below, this card is potentially worth grading — a PSA 10 nets an estimated $535, but the 25% gem rate means the 10 is far from guaranteed. Weigh the PSA 9 outcome below.

The breakeven math

Line itemAmount
Raw purchase$421.66
Sales tax (8%)$33.73
Grading fee (value tier)$25.00
Shipping$5.00
Total cost basis$485.39
Net at PSA 10 (85% payout) +$534.61 (+110%)
Net at PSA 9 (the downside case) −$150.87

Assumptions: $25 grading, $5 shipping, 8% tax on the raw purchase, and keeping 85% of the sale after marketplace fees. Your numbers will differ — run them below.

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Card pricing data provided by SportsCardsPro, a service of PriceCharting. Gem rates reflect recent PSA population data (12 graded submissions). Not investment advice — grading outcomes are probabilistic and markets move. © Summit Sports Cards · About · Pricing